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2025-02-14 Visdom Investment Group Daily Market Recap

Published On:14 February 2025

The opinions expressed below are my own and do not necessarily represent those of Visdom Investment Group, LLC.

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Incredibly uninteresting.


Futures did very little overnight and regular hours traders did the same. The S&P 500 opened +2 and stayed between +12 and -8 over the full session. That’s a yawner. Capital flow was almost normal at 98%. Yields fell 2-5 bips across the curve. Headlines were boring and markets were in no mood to shake, rattle, or roll. We go into the 3-day weekend gently and without concern.

Since there is almost nothing to discuss today. Let’s just check in on the state of some things.

Earnings season:

Here’s the plot of the percentage of reporting stocks that beat the analyst expectations.

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The takeaway? The current season is OK. Not great, not bad.

Interest rates:

Here’s the 1-year plot of yields for the 2 yr, 5 yr, and 10 yr US Treasury instruments.

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The takeaway? Yields are up from September and sorta flat from a year ago…. There’s no obvious trend, so who knows where they go next.

The S&P 500 chart:

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The takeaway? Most everyone thinks we’ll keep going up.

Markets are closed for President’s Day Monday. See you Tuesday, enjoy the long weekend.

-Mike

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